Democrats seek blueprint for bucking Trump in 2020 — AP Analysis
- Lorraine Moran
The day of reckoning for American politics has almost arrived.
Democrats are hoping to achieve a "mid-term wave" - a sweeping victory that changes the shape of the political map in the US.
DON'T BELIEVE THE POLLS BMO Capital Markets analysts Jon Hill, Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery wrote in a recent note that many of their clients are skeptical of political polls on the congressional elections.
"Everything matters and everything's at stake", Schriock said.
Excitement is abound south of the border as Americans get set to elect new members to the Republican-controlled House of Representatives and Senate on Tuesday. The GOP could pick up from two to four seats, although the outcome could be a 50-50 Senate.
"The midterm elections used to be, like, boring, right?" the president asked supporters. That means one thing for certain - a lot of oversight. He has been campaigning for the Democratic Party, focusing on preserving the Affordable Care Act and warning of attempts by the Republicans to strip welfare measures to find money to offset the soaring deficit. "It's all fragile", he said on the call.
The comments marked the starkest indication that Trump has grown less optimistic about the GOP's chances of retaining control of the House, where Republicans face greater headwinds than in the Senate. To win control, the Democrats must hang on to all their existing seats and win two more. Repeatedly and with no evidence, Trump has claimed that Democrats want to open the borders to violent criminals and destroy the country, while invoking the rag-tag migrant caravan still hundreds of miles miles and days away from the USA border as an invading force.
Trump's Republican coalition is increasingly older, whiter, more male and less likely to have a college degree.
The political realignment, if it solidifies, could reshape U.S. politics for a generation.
GOP leaders say the president is running on more than just immigration.
There are very obvious downsides to Republicans' losing the House for Trump.
Republicans now lead among men and those 40 and over.
"We feel like he's working to resolve all the problems that we are so frustrated by", Webb said.
Donald Trump has divided America at home and isolated it overseas.
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A nationwide poll released Sunday by NBC News and The Wall Street Journal details the depth of the demographic shifts. A CNN poll gave Democrats the largest margin, a 13-point advantage; an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll had the Democratic lead at 7 points.
He's undecided going into Election Day. "But it'll be a start". Trump and his backers have called it "an invasion" - though the group of a few thousand people, including mothers and children, remains hundreds of miles away - and suggested without proof that there are criminals and terrorists in the crowd of those fleeing violence and poverty. "That's what the American voters are going to deliver their verdict on".
"This first midterm, at this check-in moment, to have these different forces converge in different ways, to have the different loud landscape for the House and the Senate".
U.S. networks have withdrawn President Donald Trump's ad about a cop-killing illegal immigrant.
But Brookings Institution expert John Hudak said it is also clear that Trump is a major issue for both parties this year.
Even if they can't overcome Senate Republicans or a presidential veto, Begala says Democrats can use the House agenda to preview what they would do heading into the next election for president in 2020 against Trump.
"In this cycle, it seemed as if there was a disproportionately negative reaction among highly educated voters to Trump", he said.
However, the Democrats are expected to fall short of the two seats they need to win control of the Senate.
If Democrats take back the House of Representatives, they stress they will be a check on the president, but they also have an ambitious agenda of their own.
"I'm voting for Donald Trump", Stuart Kanter said.
In the House, Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats.
Liberal activist Tom Steyer spent roughly US$120 million this midterm season.
Throughout the campaign, Trump has been tested out other explanations - pointing to historical headwinds for the party of an incumbent president and complaining about a rash of GOP retirements this year.
White House aides insist the president doesn't spend much time contemplating defeat, but he has begun to try to calibrate expectations. "We are the Democratic Party", he said. The flood of campaign cash, a midterm record, has been overwhelmingly fuelled by energy on the left.
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